The future isn’t something that happens to us. It’s the result of the decisions we make in the present.

The future isn’t something that happens to you. It’s the product of decisions being made right now — inside companies, governments, and labs — most of which you won’t see until their consequences arrive on your doorstep. My job is to see them early, and to help you act while acting can still change the outcome.

I’m Amy Webb, a quantitative futurist. That means I forecast the future the way a good analyst forecasts a market — with data, models, and probabilities, not hunches. For the better part of two decades I’ve done that work for people who can’t afford to guess: mapping how technology, capital, geopolitics, climate, science, and human behavior collide, and what those collisions mean for the decisions in front of them.

Convergence is where I do that work in the open, at three altitudes:

Signals — the weak signals I’m tracking one at a time, while they still look like noise.

Convergences — what happens when separate forces (a technology curve, a policy shift, a scientific breakthrough, a genuine unknown) collide into something new, before it has a name.

Forecasts — specific, dated, and explained. I tell you what I think will happen and why. Because a forecast you can't check later isn't a forecast. It's just a story.

The point isn’t to help you understand the future in the abstract. It’s to show you where the world is going, where new risk/ value will be created, an where/ how you can participate — before your competitors or adversaries.

Behind the screen

I’m the founder and CEO of Future Today Strategy Group, where my team and I publish the annual Convergence Outlook — successor to the Tech Trends report we produced for years, which was read by millions of people each year and became a fixture at SXSW. I teach strategic foresight on the faculty of the NYU Stern School of Business. And I’ve written several books about the forces remaking our world, including The Signals Are Talking, The Big Nine, and The Genesis Machine.

For nearly two decades I’ve advised CEOs, corporate boards, government agencies, and military leaders on the decisions that don’t get a second chance. I also keep one foot in Hollywood, working with writers and producers at Netflix, Marvel, Hulu and other studios on the shows and films imagining what comes next — my excuse, every so often, to take a side quest from reality into science fiction.

Convergence is the more provisional, more personal version of that work. Think: what I’d tell you over dinner, not what goes into a polished deliverable.

What you’ll get

New posts arrive in your inbox as I publish them. Everything is free, and the thinking will never sit behind a paywall. If it’s useful to you, the best way to support it is to forward it to one person who should be reading it.

Subscribe, and I’ll send you the future while it’s still early enough to act on.

Short bio

Amy Webb is the quantitative futurist who transformed strategic foresight into a rigorous, data-driven discipline, establishing the foundational methodologies that now guide leaders, organizations, and governments in anticipating disruption and securing long-term growth.

Her clients include a third of the Fortune 100. New CEOs rely on her to navigate leadership transitions. Boards turn to her to understand systemic risk and opportunity amid accelerating change. She has advised three White House administrations and counsels U.S. federal agencies, Congress, and heads of state across four continents on technology and long-term policy.

Her four books — including the international bestseller The Big Nine and The Genesis Machine, which The New Yorker named one of the year’s best works of nonfiction — have been translated into 23 languages, with two optioned for film. She also collaborates with writers, directors, and producers on projects for Netflix, Hulu, and Marvel.

Thinkers50 ranked her the #3 most influential management thinker in the world; Forbes named her one of “the five women changing the world”; and the BBC included her in its 100 Women of the Year.

Outside of work, she is a competitive endurance cyclist and an Assistant Scoutmaster to one of the country’s first all-girls Scout troops.

How to contact me

For media inquiries, please contact El Jean at media@ftsg.com.

For speaking engagements, please contact El Jean at speaking@ftsg.com.

For anything else, reach out to inquiries@ftsg.com.